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The season is almost upon us, and I’m here to make some predictions. Is there anything worse then trying to pick Super Bowl winners before the season even begins? I don’t have strong feelings about these picks, but here goes….
AFC East
New England Patriots
The Pats had some big acquisitions (Randy Moss, Adalius Thomas, Donte Stallworth) and have to be unhappy that they blew an 18 point lead in the AFC Championship. Richard Seymour might be out for the first 6 games, but the rest of the division can’t take advantage of the loss of Seymour. They might be the trendy pick to win the Super Bowl, and that kind of scares me from saying this, but I do think the Pats will win the Super Bowl. As long as they get home-field advantage, and Tom Brady remains upright, the Pats are the best team in the NFL on both sides of the ball.
Record: 13-3
New York Jets
Last year, the Jets were a huge surprise. Not just because they made the playoffs, but Chad Pennington stayed healthy all year. I like the addition of Thomas Jones, but two healthy season in a row for Pennington might be too much to ask for. Also, their schedule is much harder than last year’s, so expect the Jets the fall back a little bit.
Record:7-9
Miami Dolphins
What a difference a year makes. Miami was considered a Super Bowl contender with Daunte Culpepper, but they rushed him on the field too quick, four months later, Nick Saban got a whole bunch of money to leave the Dolphins, and they are back to square one. They got Trent Green, which is an improvement, but he’s getting older. The defense is still rock solid, and they added Joey Porter to an already good defense. I think the Dolphins will be in a lot of low scoring battles. If Trent Green struggles, expect to see John Beck on the field late in the season.
Record:6-10
Buffalo Bills
Did the Bills really need to have a fire sale? They were getting better towards the end of the season. J.P Losman still has Lee Evans to throw to, and Marshawn Lynch could be an impact rookie. My question is, where is the defense? London Fletcher-Baker, Takeo Spikes, and Nate Clements are gone. The Bills could be good in a few years, but this season might be hard to watch.
Record:4-12
AFC North
Pittsburgh Steelers
The Steelers chances of repeating were derailed when Big Ben Roethlisberger got into a motorcycle accident. They were competitive last year, but were not able to make the playoffs. With a healthy Big Ben, the Steelers win a lot of games. The loss of Joey Porter hurts the defense, but they still have a good defense. Willie Parker isn’t Jerome Bettis, but he doesn’t have to be for the Steelers to win. It’s weird seeing the Steelers without Bill Cowher. They should improve in the turnover department this year, and win the division.
Record:10-6
Baltimore Ravens
They have a championship caliber defense, but lack the offense to put enough points on the board to win. Sound familiar? This is the Ravens story entering every season. Steve McNair was a big improvement for the Ravens last year, but what happened in the playoffs? When your defense holds the Colts out of the end zone, and you still lose, that’s a major problem. Jamal Lewis had to go, and Willis McGahee could be the running back the Ravens need to make a Super Bowl run, but Willis gets hurt every year it seems. They can still make the playoffs, but this defense is running out of chances to win another Super Bowl.
Record: 9-7
Cincinnati Bengals
The Bengals have a great offense, but lack the defense needed to make a postseason run. They should have made the playoffs last year, but their special teams blew the last two games of the year for them. Carson Palmer is still an elite quarterback, and the Bengals have a lot of weapons on offense. Look for plenty of shootouts, and the Bengals once again to come oh so close to the playoffs.
Record: 8-8
Cleveland Browns
The Browns have the misfortune to play in a tough division, and have a hard schedule. They did have a good draft, but asking for a playoff run this season, is just too much to ask for. Brady Quinn will probably get in by midseason. The Browns should learn from their mistakes, and sit him all year. You don’t want him getting hurt like Tim Couch. Jamal Lewis is an improvement over Reuben Droughns, but it’s going to be a while before the Browns make their way into the playoff picture.
Record: 4-12
AFC South
Indianapolis Colts
The defending Super Bowl champs have had a lot of key players leave. The division is improving, but the Colts still have Peyton Manning. That’s all they need to make the playoffs. So what their defense hasn’t improved, it was god awful last year, and they won the Super Bowl. I don’t think a repeat is in the cards for the Colts, but they can very easily get back to the AFC Championship. I think this time, the game will be in New England.
Record: 11-5
Houston Texans
The Texans made the move that needed to be made. They gave up on David Carr, and got Matt Schaub. Schaub has been one of the best backup quarterbacks in the NFL, and should shine with the weapons the Texans have. Ahman Green improves the running game, and Andre Johnson is one of, if not the best, young receiver in the game. The defense should also improve. I’m making a bold prediction, I’m saying the Texans make the playoffs for the first time in their history.
Record: 9-7
Jacksonville Jaguars
David Garrard is a better quarterback for the Jags then Byron Leftwich. The Jags last year were a disappointment, because they got off to a hot start, but melted late in the season. The defense is still good enough to lead the Jags to the playoffs, but even with Garrard, I don’t see much offense coming for the Jags. Maurice Jones-Drew and Fred Taylor are a good tandem, but the passing game is lackluster. Look for another disappointing year from the Jags.
Record: 7-9
Tennessee Titans
Vince Young made the Titans contenders last year. Had they won the last game of the regular season, they would have made the playoffs. They improved by leaps and bounds last year but two things are making me think this will be a poor season by the Titans. The loss of Pacman Jones can not be overstated. He was their best defensive player last year, and also scored a few touchdowns on special teams. While he might not be the greatest guy on Earth, he was a game changing player, and without him, the Titans defense just isn’t that good. The other reason I’m saying the Titans will have a bad year is the Madden Curse. I know, I’m not a big believer of this stuff, but the track record is just too much to overlook.
Record: 5-11
AFC West
Denver Broncos
I think the Broncos rushed Jay Culter onto the field too early last year. The offense was bad with Plummer, but he did lead the Broncos to victories most of the time. Maybe the move won’t look so bad in hindsight, because Jay Culter did gain experience last season, and the Broncos made lot of improvements. So, as long as Culter plays well, the Broncos have a great chance to win the division. The Chargers might be a better team, but the Broncos are always solid, and should be able to win the division, if Culter doesn’t play bad.
Record: 11-5
San Diego Chargers
The Chargers had the best record in the NFL last year. They had the MVP, home field advantage, and were beating the Patriots in the playoffs. Then it all fell apart. Marty Schottenheimer got fired, and the Chargers brought in Norv Turner. Since when does a 14-2 football team fire their head coach? Then bring in one who hasn’t had a good track record. The Chargers have too much talent for me to say this will be a terrible season, but it won’t take much for the wheels to fall off.
Record: 10-6
Oakland Raiders
The Raiders had the best defense against the pass last season. They are a young team, that just lacks an identity on offense. The Raiders defense should be good enough to keep them in games, and the signing of Daunte Culpepper could be big for the Raiders, but I don’t trust Culpepper. Josh McCown will get his chance to prove if he’s good enough to be a full time starter in the NFL. They just don’t have the weapons to contend for a playoff spot.
Record: 6-10
Kansas City Chiefs
The Chiefs use to have one of the most explosive offenses in the NFL. After Trent Green got his concussion last year, the offense was simplified, and Damon Huard did a good job keeping the Chiefs in the playoff picture. The Chiefs made the playoffs last year, but had a very early exit. Going into this season the Chiefs have tried to make Brodie Croyle their starting quarterback. What’s wrong with Huard? He did keep your football team afloat last year. I expect the Chiefs to panic put Brodie Croyle in early in the season. If he’s in, the Chiefs hopes of making it back to the playoffs will disappear.
Record: 5-11
NFC East
Dallas Cowboys
The Cowboys season ended on a botched hold by Tony Romo. Bill Parcells is gone, which isn’t a good thing. While Wade Phillips might not have the best track record in league, the Cowboys have enough talented players to win the division. If Terrell Owens can hold onto the football, the Cowboys have a good offense, and the defense has some playmakers like Roy Williams and DeMarcus Ware. They should have won the division last year, but fell apart late in the season. Dallas should be able to hang on this time around.
Record: 10-6
Philadelphia Eagles
The Eagles had a magic run at the end of the season to win the NFC East. They won it without Donovan McNabb, so he should have something to prove this season. The big question is, is he healthy? I know he might look healthy now, just go back 12 months, and remember a quarterback who was coming off a major knee injury. Oh yeah, Daunte Culpepper, and look how that turned out. The Eagles defense was shaky against the Saints in the playoffs, and if they are shaky this season, it will be hard for the Eagles to make it back to the playoffs. I think they’ll make it as a wild card team.
Record: 9-7
Washington Redskins
Jason Campbell was learning his trade late last season. Though they weren’t a good team last year, Jason Campbell should improve, and the defense is getting better. The problem I have with the Redskins their defense tends to give up way too many big plays. While they might not be a great defense, the Redskins have a good enough ground game to stay in football games. If the defense can improve enough, the Redskins aren’t that far away from being a playoff team. I don’t see it this year, maybe next year.
Record: 7-9
New York Giants
The loss of Tiki Barber is enormous. He was their best player, and accounted for almost half of their offense the last few seasons. Things can get ugly real quick for the Giants. Tom Coughlin is on thin ice already, and a bad start could lead to the search for a new coach in the middle of the season. Eli Manning is getting most of the blame, but it’s not his fault. The Giants were in great position after 8 games last year, too many injuries made them go into a tailspin. Without Tiki though, the Giants just don’t the offense to win the division.
Record: 6-10
NFC North
Green Bay Packers
The Packers won four in a row to end the season last year. Brett Favre is back (again) and the rest of the team is young, but full of potential. The defense got good at the end of the year, and the Packers defensive line is formidable. The offense will be hurt by the loss of Ahman Green. Brandon Jackson will have a chance to shine behind an improving offensive line. The Packers might not be on the Bears level talent wise, but they do have Brett Favre. If this is his last season, he has a good enough team behind him to contend, and I think win the division.
Record: 10-6
Chicago Bears
A lot depends on Rex Grossman. The Bears were in the Super Bowl last year, and could have won it, if it weren’t for Rex Grossman. Now, his defenders might come out as say, well it was raining and the ball was wet, so that’s why Rex played so poorly, but that doesn’t hide the fact that Rex Grossman is a human turnover. He doesn’t have to be great for the Bears to make it back to the Super Bowl, he just has to be decent. With Rex though, asking for consistency might be asking too much. I’m sure the Bears aren’t going to make to the switch and put in Brian Griese, if they didn’t last year, the aren’t going to. The Bears defense is good enough to make them a threat, but Rex has too much pressure at this point to lead them back to the Super Bowl.
Record: 10-6
Detroit Lions
The Lions have been doing a lot of talking for a team that had only 3 wins last year. Sure, the offense has firepower, but when haven’t they had firepower? Under Matt Millen, the team has not been close to the playoffs, and their defense isn’t going to improve overnight. Jon Kitna did have a good year last year, but it only resulted in 3 wins, where are the playoff expectations coming from? Is it because they drafted Calvin Johnson? They always draft receivers. Tatum Bell is an improvement over Kevin Jones, but I just don’t see the Lions making the playoffs until they get rid of Matt Millen.
Record: 6-10
Minnesota Vikings
The Vikings defense was good last year, but their offense was terrible. When they finally took Brad Johnson out of the lineup, it was too late. Tarvaris Jackson will get better, but asking a young quarterback to lead your team to the playoffs, is asking too much. Adrian Peterson was a good draft pick, and Chester Taylor did have a great year last season, so there is some hope for the Vikings. The division is improving, and it’s going to take some time for the Vikings.
Record: 5-11
NFC South
Carolina Panthers
Jake Delhomme is on the hot seat. Going into last season, the Panthers were the preseason pick to win the Super Bowl. Now that expectations are down, I expect to see the real Jake Delhomme show up. Last year, he was throwing interceptions late in games left and right. The Panthers have a very talented football team, and with David Carr as their backup, Jake Delhomme has all the motivation he needs to have a good season.
Record: 11-5
New Orleans Saints
The Saints were the cinderella story of the NFL last year. Drew Brees came in, and got the Saints one game away from the Super Bowl. Sean Payton did a great job last year, but it’s not easy following a cinderella season. Reggie Bush will get better, and the defense was pretty good last year. The Saints will have to contend with a harder schedule than last year, and you know when the schedules get tougher, teams start falling out of playoff contention.
Record: 7-9
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
The Bucs have a lot of question marks going into this season. Was signing Jeff Garcia the right move? Will Jon Gruden remain as the Bucs head coach? Can the defense make up of the loss of Simeon Rice? The Bucs did have some good offseason signings, but this football team just doesn’t look like it’s heading in the right direction. Jeff Garcia did well last year, but he didn’t have a lot of pressure on him. Gruden can remain Bucs head coach if Garcia keeps this team in contention, but this isn’t the 2002 Bucs by any means.
Record: 4-12
Atlanta Falcons
Not only did the Falcons lose Patrick Kerney, but the whole Michael Vick saga has put this football team in a hole they won’t be able to get out of. This has been a terrible summer for the Falcons organization, and it’s asking a lot of them to make the playoffs under this black cloud. They’ve lost the face of their franchise, and have to move on. Joey Harrington will get yet another chance to prove he is ready to make an impact. He’s had so many chances, but it’s asking a lot for him to lead the Falcons out of this mess.
Record: 3-13
NFC West
St Louis Rams
The Rams quietly have made some moves to improve their already potent offense. Randy McMichael is a good weapon to have, and Drew Bennett should flourish with the “Greatest Show on Turf.” The real key for the Rams is Steven Jackson. He had a great 2006 season, and looks primed to have a great 2007. If Marc Bulger can keep it together, the Rams have enough firepower to make it far in the playoffs. The NFC West can be won by any team, but I give the Rams the edge.
Record: 12-4
San Francisco 49ers
San Fran got back into the mix last season. Frank Gore had a great year, and Alex Smith improved dramatically. The Niners improved their defense this offseason, and got Darrell Jackson to help Alex Smith. Though Darrell Jackson drops his share of passes. He catches a lot of touchdowns. The Niners are looking like a playoff team, and should make it as a wild card.
Record: 10-6
Seattle Seahawks
Even with the loss of Shaun Alexander for half the season, the Seahawks made the playoffs and went to overtime against the Bears. The Seahawks could have folded their tents last year, but they didn’t. The Seahawks are good enough to win the NFC West again, but the loss of Darrell Jackson hurts their offense. He was their big play receiver. The defense does give up a lot of big plays, and in this division, that’s not a good thing. Seattle will contend for the playoffs, but will come up a little short.
Record: 9-7
Arizona Cardinals
Matt Leinart is a big improvement over Kurt Warner. The Cards can also win this division, but their defense is young, and the offensive line is a big question mark. They have the best receiving duo in the league with Anquan Boldin and Larry Fitzgerald. Edgerrin James did rush for 1,000 yards last year, but the Cardinals offensive line isn’t very good. Matt Leinart will keep developing, but the division has 3 good teams that are a step ahead of the Cardinals.
Record: 6-10
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This entry was posted on Thursday, September 6th, 2007 at 3:33 am and is filed under Football Picks. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can leave a response, or trackback from your own site.
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